New Caelifera

New Caelifera

modern methow cabin

Lewis Butte Circle trail run

Got a chance to run around Lewis Butte this weekend. Ideally one should probably start at the Riser lake parking lot so that most of the climb is at the beginning.

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Looking back towards the valley from Rendezvous
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End of the run view of old cabin
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Trail up to Lewis Butte. Will doc this route soon.
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April Trip

Late April, the arrow leaf basalm root is starting to blanket the hills.  Here Riser lake is joined by Mt Gardner and hundreds of flowers.

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The grill flue has been installed and rusted:

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Cedar siding installed

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Ceiling installed

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Shots from a distance

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Flue awaits the Argentinian grill

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Big rock surrounded by flowers.  I scared a grouse from under the rock who then scared the bejesus out of me.

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Test dog creek flowing

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When Will Highway 20 Open in 2014?

Every year the opening of Highway 20 through the North Cascades National Park heralds a phase transition in the population density of the Methow Valley. From our home in Seattle to Winthrop this is the difference between 247 miles and 202 miles. For beautiful pictures of this years plowing of the road, see the WSDOT’s flickr page. Since the opening of the pass brings business, and busyness, locales like to try to predict the date it will open. So when will it open this year?

Here is a plot of the day of the year the road opened, and snow depth at the Swamp Creek snotel station on 3/1 of that year:
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I’ve also calculated a least squares fit and plotted value of this fit for the given snow depth. Using this fit, and the fact that on 3/1 of this year there was 73 inches of snow, I can therefore predict, with absolute certainty (ha!) that Highway 20 will open on day 132 of this year, or May 12. A very late opening.